Saturday, March 08, 2008

Statistical Abuse

What's wrong with this picture?

Amazingly, Obama has 54% of the Texas vote... amazing because just 2% of the vote has been cast! In the picture above, he has 54% of 2% of the vote, which is just over 1%. Clinton has 45% of 2%, or just under 1%. It should read 1% to 1%, but that's not dramatic! That's not exciting! No, what we want to see a fierce competitive battle, with swings and come-from-behind, against-all-odds wins!

Not fair, you say, the 54%-45% is merely to show what percent of votes already cast are for whom. Okay, but that's useless information; it's not a sporting event, the only thing that matters is the percentages when all the votes are in; how they are counted makes no difference, so why create drama out of nothing? And, if that's the goal, why not count all the votes for one person first... now THAT would be drama!
With 45% of the votes counted, Obama leads leads Clinton 100% to 0%!!!
Imagine the water cooler surprise the next morning! Did you hear about Clinton's victory? She won the last 10 million votes in a row!

If showing the truth (1% to 1% just wouldn't do), let's at least have some fun with it!

See anything else? How about McCain being projected as the winner, with just 2% of the precincts reporting? Seems to me there's 20 million more votes to count, more or less, but McCain only leads by 100,000 votes.

I'm tired of (news) media deliberately misleading viewers just for the sake of drama.

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